The Jim Gavin Exits from Ireland's Race for the Presidency
In a surprising turn of events, a key main candidates in the Irish race for president has withdrawn from the contest, upending the entire competition.
Withdrawal Announcement Shakes Up Election Dynamics
Fianna Fáil's Jim Gavin withdrew on the evening of Sunday following revelations about an outstanding payment to a former tenant, transforming the election into an uncertain direct competition between a center-right past cabinet member and an non-aligned left-leaning parliamentarian.
Gavin, 54, a political novice who joined the election after professional experiences in sports, airline industry and defense, stepped aside after it came to light he had neglected to refund a excess rental payment of over three thousand euros when he was a property owner about 16 years ago, during a period of economic hardship.
"I made a mistake that was inconsistent with who I am and the standards I set myself. Corrective actions are underway," he said. "I have also thought long and hard, regarding the possible effects of the ongoing campaign on the health of my loved ones and companions.
"Taking all these considerations onboard, I've chosen to exit from the race for the presidency with immediate effect and rejoin my loved ones."
Contest Reduced to Primary Hopefuls
The most dramatic event in a presidential campaign in living memory narrowed the contest to one candidate, a past government official who is campaigning for the incumbent center-right political party Fine Gael, and another candidate, an outspoken pro-Palestinian voice who is backed by a political party and left-leaning minor parties.
Challenge for Party Head
This departure also created turmoil for the taoiseach and Fianna Fáil leader, the party chief, who had put his reputation on the line by nominating an inexperienced hopeful over the reservations of fellow members.
The leader stated it was about not wanting to "cause dispute" to the office of president and was correct to step down. "Gavin recognized that he committed a mistake in relation to an issue that has arisen in recent days."
Political Difficulties
Even with a track record of skill and accomplishments in commerce and athletics – under his leadership the capital's GAA team to five consecutive championship victories – his election effort faltered through missteps that caused him to fall behind in an opinion poll even before the unpaid debt disclosure.
Individuals within Fianna Fáil who had objected to picking the candidate said the situation was a "significant mistake" that would have "ramifications" – a implied threat to the leader.
Voting System
The candidate's name may stay on the voting paper in the election on 24 October, which will finish the long service of the current president, but voters now face a two options between a centrist establishment candidate and an non-aligned left-leaning candidate. A poll taken before Gavin's exit gave Connolly a third of the vote and Humphreys 23%, with 15 percent supporting Gavin.
According to voting regulations, voters select candidates in order of preference. In case nobody reaches a majority in round one, the candidate with the least first preference votes is eliminated and their support is passed to the next preference.
Potential Vote Transfers
Analysts predicted that if Gavin was eliminated, most of his votes would shift to the other candidate, and vice versa, increasing the likelihood that a pro-government candidate would attain the presidency for the governing partnership.
Function of the President
The presidency is a largely symbolic post but Higgins and his predecessors made it a venue for worldwide concerns.
Final Contenders
The 68-year-old Connolly, from Galway, would bring a strong leftwing voice to that tradition. She has assailed free-market policies and said Hamas is "an integral component" of the Palestinian people. She has charged Nato of militarism and compared Berlin's enhanced defense expenditure to the 1930s, when Adolf Hitler rearmed the country.
The 62-year-old Humphreys, has encountered examination over her time in office in cabinets that oversaw a accommodation problem. As a Protestant from the county Monaghan near the border, she has also been criticised over her lack of Irish language skills but stated her faith tradition could aid in securing Northern Ireland's unionists in a reunified nation.